Walking into the NBA preseason always feels like opening the first chapter of a long novel—you get glimpses of character arcs, potential plot twists, and sometimes, foreshadowing of greatness or disappointment. As someone who’s spent years analyzing basketball from both statistical and on-court perspectives, I find the preseason standings particularly intriguing. They’re not just meaningless exhibitions; they’re a canvas where teams sketch their identities, test rotations, and build chemistry. This year, for instance, the Golden State Warriors went 4-1 in the preseason, while the Boston Celtics stumbled to a 1-3 record. On the surface, those numbers might seem trivial, but dig deeper, and they reveal patterns that often echo into the regular season. I’ve always believed that preseason performance, when contextualized, can hint at a team’s readiness, depth, and even their coaching philosophy.
Take the quote from a player I recently came across: "Sabi niya, tiwala ang mga coaches (sa akin). Lagi ako nagagamit sa loob. Kailangan kong paghirapan sa training, pagtrabahin ‘yung shooting ko, ‘yung post ko para maapply ko sa game." Translated, it’s about trust from coaches, consistent playing time, and the grind in training to refine skills like shooting and post moves for game application. That mindset—embodied by players who use the preseason to translate practice into performance—is what separates teams that thrive from those that fizzle out. I remember watching the Denver Nuggets last preseason; their 3-2 record didn’t scream dominance, but you could see Nikola Jokić experimenting with new passes and Jamal Murray building rhythm after injury. Fast forward to the regular season, and they clinched a top seed in the West. It’s not about wins and losses alone; it’s about how players like that embrace the process, much like the speaker in that quote emphasizes hard work and application.
Statistically, there’s a loose correlation between preseason success and regular-season outcomes, though it’s far from perfect. Over the past five years, teams that finished the preseason with a winning record (above .500) went on to make the playoffs about 65% of the time, compared to just 40% for those below .500. For example, in the 2022-23 season, the Phoenix Suns posted a 4-1 preseason and carried that momentum to a 64-win regular season, while the Los Angeles Lakers’ 1-4 preseason slump foreshadowed their early struggles. But here’s where my perspective kicks in: I think raw standings can be misleading if you ignore context. A team like the San Antonio Spurs might tank in preseason to test young talent—they did that in 2021, going 2-3, and still ended up with a decent 34-48 record. It’s the underlying factors—player development, coaching trust, and tactical experiments—that matter more. When I see a rookie getting heavy minutes and improving their shooting percentage from, say, 38% to 45% over a few games, that’s a telltale sign of regular-season impact.
From a coaching standpoint, the preseason is a laboratory. Coaches aren’t just rolling out their star players for 40 minutes; they’re assessing rotations, building trust with role players, and fine-tuning systems. That quote about coaches’ trust and applying training to games resonates deeply here. I’ve spoken with assistants who say that preseason is where they identify who can handle pressure—like a bench player who ups their defensive rating from 110 to 102 or a big man who adds a reliable hook shot. For instance, the Miami Heat’s 2023 preseason saw undrafted players like Orlando Robinson shine, and that trust paid off later in close games. On the flip side, if a team like the New York Knicks struggles with three-point shooting, hitting only 32% in preseason, it often spills into the regular season unless addressed. Personally, I lean toward valuing defensive cohesion and pace in preseason over pure scoring; teams that limit opponents to under 100 points per game in exhibition matches tend to start the regular season stronger, as we saw with the 2022 Memphis Grizzlies.
Of course, there are skeptics who dismiss preseason results as irrelevant, and I get it—stars sit out, schemes are vanilla, and the intensity isn’t playoff-level. But in my experience, ignoring it entirely is a mistake. Look at the 2021 Brooklyn Nets: they went 0-4 in preseason, and while they still had a solid regular season, their early defensive lapses and lack of bench depth were evident from those games. Contrast that with the 2020 Lakers, who used a 3-3 preseason to integrate new pieces and went on to win the championship. The key is to read between the lines: track player efficiency ratings (PER), watch for injuries, and note how coaches distribute minutes. If a team’s core players are logging 25+ minutes and executing sets smoothly, that’s a green flag. I’ve always been partial to teams that prioritize ball movement and rebounding in preseason—it shows a focus on fundamentals that pays dividends later.
In conclusion, while NBA preseason standings shouldn’t be overhyped, they offer valuable insights into a team’s trajectory. Reflecting on that player’s words about trust and hard work, it’s clear that the preseason is a microcosm of the season ahead—a time for growth, application, and building confidence. As we head into the regular season, I’ll be keeping an eye on squads that turned preseason hustle into tangible improvements, because in basketball, as in life, the groundwork often determines the outcome. So, next time you glance at those exhibition scores, remember: they’re more than just numbers; they’re stories in the making.